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Day 1 Outlook Convective Tornado
Hail Wind
Categorical Day1 0100Z Outlook
  
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 Forecast Discussion

  
000
ACUS01 KWNS 230050
SWODY1
SPC AC 230049

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0649 PM CST Thu Feb 22 2024

Valid 230100Z - 231200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM ARKANSAS
INTO PARTS OF THE MID SOUTH...

...SUMMARY...
Strong thunderstorms will continue to overspread parts of the Mid
South this evening, and perhaps pose some risk for damaging wind
gusts and severe hail.

...Parts of Arkansas into the Mid South...
Multiple bands of thunderstorms are ongoing this evening from parts
of AR into southeast MO and western KY, in association with a
gradually deepening mid/upper-level trough and related cold front.
MUCAPE of 500-1000 J/kg and effective shear of 25-35 kt will remain
supportive of at least weakly organized convection through the
evening, supporting a continued risk of isolated hail as storms move
southeastward. Some modest clustering and upscale growth will be
possible as storms approach western TN and northwest MS, which could
pose a threat of localized strong/damaging gusts. See MCD 156 for
more information.

..Dean.. 02/23/2024

$$