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Day 1 Outlook Convective Tornado
Hail Wind
Categorical Day1 0100Z Outlook
  
Images courtesy of the NWS Storm Prediction Center
 Forecast Discussion

  
000
ACUS01 KWNS 230040
SWODY1
SPC AC 230039

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0739 PM CDT Tue Sep 22 2020

Valid 230100Z - 231200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
A strong storm is possible in association with the remnants of Beta
from southeast Texas into southern Louisiana, but severe storms are
unlikely.

...Southeast Texas into southwest Louisiana...
The remnants of TC Beta will continue to produce lines of showers
and thunderstorms across the region with moist southerly flow off
the Gulf of Mexico. As of 01Z, little lightning is noted with the
existing convection, and the more favorable low-level shear is
concentrated north of a surface front which separates the low 70s
from the upper 70s F dewpoints. As low-level warm advection persists
tonight aided by 25 kt 850 mb winds, higher dewpoints may spread a
bit farther inland, but the favorable effective SRH will retreat
north as well. As such, have removed low-end tornado probabilities.

..Jewell.. 09/23/2020

$$