Dallasdawg.com Weather

409
FXUS64 KFWD 081829
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
129 PM CDT Wed Apr 8 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- There will be low chances (10-30%) for rain showers each
  afternoon and evening Thursday and Friday.

- A more unsettled pattern will bring multiple rounds of showers
  and storms to the region this weekend into next week. Severe
  thunderstorms with all hazards including flooding will be
  possible.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Thursday night)
Issued at 130 PM CDT Wed Apr 8 2026

Not a lot of changes to the weather pattern for today with a
surface high pressure to our east keeping the southerly flow
across the region. Temperatures will be a few degrees warmer than
yesterday with highs in the mid-upper 70s to around 80 degrees.
The rest of the short-term forecast remains in good shape as the
warming trend continues tomorrow and winds become slightly breezy
during the day. A few warm advection showers and isolated storms
are possible across portions of Central Texas in the late
afternoon and evening. Severe weather is not expected with this
activity. Most of the activity will diminish shortly after
sunset.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through next Tuesday)
Issued at 130 PM CDT Wed Apr 8 2026

After a quiet week, we will switch back to a more active period
over the weekend into next week. Multiple rounds of showers and
storms are expected, especially Sunday through early next week.

Friday will feature a fairly quiet and mild day as the main upper
level system enters the California coast. Party sunny skies and
breezy southerly winds are expected but we can`t rule out a few
warm advection showers and isolated storms in the afternoon and
evening. The severe weather threat is low with this activity.

Saturday through Monday: As the western trough continues to move
eastward over the weekend, mid-level flow will strengthen over
the southern Plains. With the passage of each disturbance aloft,
showers and thunderstorms are forecast to develop, with the
highest chances Saturday evening through Sunday night. At this
time, the best potential for severe weather on Saturday will
remain across West TX where the combination of instability and
shear will be highest. The threat will shift eastward on Sunday as
the main trough gets closer to our area and deep layer shear
becomes more favorable over North and Central Texas. While we
can`t narrow down the areas with the highest risk at this time,
all hazards are possible Sunday afternoon through the night.
Another wave of showers and storms are expected on Monday and some
may also become severe with large hail, damaging winds, and at
least a low tornado threat.

Tuesday and Wednesday: The upper level trough will finally
approach the southern Plains with a surface cold front/dryline
moving across portions of our area. This means that more rounds
of showers and storms will likely develop on Tuesday and/or
Wednesday. We will have to continue to monitor the potential for
severe weather and pockets of heavy rain. Given there will be
multiple rounds of heavy rain late this weekend into next week,
flooding may also become an increasing concern. Specific details
will need to be adjusted over the next few days, so continue to
check back for updates.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 130 PM CDT Wed Apr 8 2026

No significant aviation concerns are expected through Thursday
afternoon. VFR conditions will persist under a few passing
cumulus and mid-high level clouds. Winds will remain from the
southeast around 5 to 11 kts gusting to around 15-18 kts this
afternoon. A brief period of MVFR clouds may approach KACT
Thursday morning before scattering out by 17Z. This is not
expected to impact any of the DFW Metroplex sites. Otherwise,
winds will increase slightly in the afternoon with a few isolated
warm advection showers moving into portions of Central Texas.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    78  59  82  63 /   0   0   0   0
Waco                78  58  81  61 /   0   0  10  10
Paris               77  54  80  59 /   0   0   0   0
Denton              77  55  80  60 /   0   0   0   0
McKinney            78  57  80  61 /   0   0   0   0
Dallas              80  60  83  64 /   0   0   0   0
Terrell             78  56  81  60 /   0   0   0   0
Corsicana           80  59  83  62 /   0   0   0   0
Temple              78  58  82  61 /   0   0  20  20
Mineral Wells       78  54  81  59 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Sanchez
LONG TERM....Sanchez
AVIATION...Sanchez