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Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
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525 FXUS64 KFWD 131138 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 538 AM CST Tue Jan 13 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - High clouds will prevail through today with a low chance for sprinkles or light rain showers in Central Texas. - Seasonable temperatures will persist through the week with little chance for rainfall through the upcoming weekend. && .SHORT TERM... (Through Tuesday Night) Issued at 1236 AM CST Tue Jan 13 2026 Mid and high-level cloud cover will continue to expand over North and Central Texas tonight as a low-pressure system shifts over the Trans-Pecos region and toward the Hill Country Tuesday morning. A few sprinkles or light rain showers will be possible across parts of Central Texas and the Brazos Valley beneath this cloud deck at 8-10kft during the day Tuesday. However, a dry sub-cloud layer will inhibit much of this precipitation from reaching the ground limiting any rainfall totals to little more than a trace. Thick cloud cover will keep temperatures south of I-20 in the low to mid 60s despite veering west-southwesterly flow Tuesday afternoon with a few locations across western Central Texas struggling to escape the 50s. Locations along/north of I-20 will likely see temperature rise into the upper 60s to near 70 degrees as cloud cover diminishes allowing for more efficient solar insolation. Tuesday night will feature calm and cool conditions with temperatures in the 40s ahead of the next cold front arriving by daybreak Wednesday morning. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday through Monday) Issued at 1236 AM CST Tue Jan 13 2026 The next cold front will push through North and Central Texas early Wednesday morning bringing gusty north winds and cooler conditions with widespread afternoon highs in the mid 50s to low 60s expected Wednesday afternoon. Although seasonably cool temperatures are expected Wednesday afternoon, we will have to watch for localized areas of elevated fire weather conditions, especially along/west of I-35 where gusts up to 30 mph are expected to overlap afternoon RH below 35%. Winds will diminish and skies will clear Wednesday night setting the stage for a chilly Thursday morning with widespread freezing temperatures. Several locations along the Red River will likely drop into the mid to upper 20s. Seasonably cool and tranquil conditions will then prevail the remainder of the work week and into the weekend with another cold front expected Friday. Unfortunately, both mentioned frontal passages are expected to remain dry with little appreciable moisture to work with. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 538 AM CST Tue Jan 13 2026 VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period at all North and Central Texas terminals. West-southwest winds generally below 10 kts with occasional gusts up to 15 kts are expected through the remainder of today. A BKN deck of mid and high-level clouds will remain sprawled over the region through much of today with a low chance for a few sprinkles and potentially a shower or two across parts of Central Texas and the Brazos Valley during the day. Virga is more likely beneath this cloud deck, as a dry sub- cloud layer will prevent most precipitation from reaching the surface. Looking ahead, a cold front will bring gusty northwest winds to all North and Central Texas early Wednesday morning. && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 67 46 62 34 / 0 0 0 0 Waco 62 42 63 34 / 20 0 0 0 Paris 67 43 56 27 / 0 0 0 0 Denton 68 41 60 27 / 0 0 0 0 McKinney 67 43 60 28 / 0 0 0 0 Dallas 68 46 62 35 / 0 0 0 0 Terrell 67 43 62 29 / 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 66 44 65 34 / 10 0 0 0 Temple 63 41 65 32 / 20 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 67 41 62 28 / 0 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Langfeld LONG TERM....Langfeld AVIATION...Langfeld |
Previous Forecast Discussions may be found at
NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX (FWD) Office Forecast Discussions.
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