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Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
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554 FXUS64 KFWD 121855 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 155 PM CDT Wed Aug 12 2026 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... .KEY MESSAGES... - Hot and dry conditions will persist into the weekend with an increasing threat for wildfire activity across the region. - Little to no rainfall is expected in the next 7 days. && .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Thursday) Issued at 1241 PM CDT Wed Aug 12 2026 Hot and dry conditions will continue through Thursday as the upper level ridge remains anchored to our east, but extends west across North and Central Texas. Breezy winds of 10-20 mph with gusts of 20-30 mph will continue through Thursday. Overnight lows tonight will be similar to this morning, but afternoon highs tomorrow will be an average of 1 degree warmer. Several locations in North Texas are touching Heat Advisory criteria at this hour, but a Heat Advisory has been issued only for 4 of our northwestern counties for the remainder of today through 8 pm Thursday due to ambient temperatures around 103 degrees and heat index values around 105 degrees. Even though there will be a breeze during this period, and RH values will be below 25-30% percent, impacts to those working outside for extended periods of time will still be able to occur quickly. Even without a Heat Advisory, the main message is: It`s still summer, it`s still hot outside, please take precautions if you must be outdoors. An elevated threat for grass and wildfires will exist the rest of today and again on Thursday afternoon, largely for locations along and west of Highway 281, but also including areas along and west of I-35/35W. Conditions look to stay just below Red Flag Warning criteria but this will be reassessed over the next 12-16 hours. At the very least, a Grassfire Danger Statement will likely be issued. && .LONG TERM... (Thursday night through next Tuesday) Issued at 1241 PM CDT Wed Aug 12 2026 An upper level disturbance will move around the southwestern periphery of the upper level ridge, along the TX/MX border from Thursday through Saturday. Unfortunately the ridge looks to hold its influence over the region, and this feature likely won`t bring any rain chances to us. However, moisture will increase a little bit across the region on Friday with some added cloud coverage. This may knock temperatures down a little bit across Central Texas, and heat index values will need to be looked at again, for a possible Heat Advisory. In addition, there`s a low chance ( |
Previous Forecast Discussions may be found at
NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX (FWD) Office Forecast Discussions.
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Some may differ only in time posted.)
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