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Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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525
FXUS64 KFWD 131138
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
538 AM CST Tue Jan 13 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- High clouds will prevail through today with a low chance for
  sprinkles or light rain showers in Central Texas.

- Seasonable temperatures will persist through the week with
  little chance for rainfall through the upcoming weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 1236 AM CST Tue Jan 13 2026

Mid and high-level cloud cover will continue to expand over North
and Central Texas tonight as a low-pressure system shifts over the
Trans-Pecos region and toward the Hill Country Tuesday morning. A
few sprinkles or light rain showers will be possible across parts
of Central Texas and the Brazos Valley beneath this cloud deck at
8-10kft during the day Tuesday. However, a dry sub-cloud layer
will inhibit much of this precipitation from reaching the ground
limiting any rainfall totals to little more than a trace. Thick
cloud cover will keep temperatures south of I-20 in the low to mid
60s despite veering west-southwesterly flow Tuesday afternoon
with a few locations across western Central Texas struggling to
escape the 50s. Locations along/north of I-20 will likely see
temperature rise into the upper 60s to near 70 degrees as cloud
cover diminishes allowing for more efficient solar insolation.
Tuesday night will feature calm and cool conditions with
temperatures in the 40s ahead of the next cold front arriving by
daybreak Wednesday morning.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 1236 AM CST Tue Jan 13 2026

The next cold front will push through North and Central Texas
early Wednesday morning bringing gusty north winds and cooler
conditions with widespread afternoon highs in the mid 50s to low
60s expected Wednesday afternoon. Although seasonably cool
temperatures are expected Wednesday afternoon, we will have to
watch for localized areas of elevated fire weather conditions,
especially along/west of I-35 where gusts up to 30 mph are
expected to overlap afternoon RH below 35%. Winds will diminish
and skies will clear Wednesday night setting the stage for a
chilly Thursday morning with widespread freezing temperatures.
Several locations along the Red River will likely drop into the
mid to upper 20s. Seasonably cool and tranquil conditions will
then prevail the remainder of the work week and into the weekend
with another cold front expected Friday. Unfortunately, both
mentioned frontal passages are expected to remain dry with little
appreciable moisture to work with.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 538 AM CST Tue Jan 13 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period at all North
and Central Texas terminals. West-southwest winds generally below
10 kts with occasional gusts up to 15 kts are expected through
the remainder of today. A BKN deck of mid and high-level clouds
will remain sprawled over the region through much of today with a
low chance for a few sprinkles and potentially a shower or two
across parts of Central Texas and the Brazos Valley during the
day. Virga is more likely beneath this cloud deck, as a dry sub-
cloud layer will prevent most precipitation from reaching the
surface. Looking ahead, a cold front will bring gusty northwest
winds to all North and Central Texas early Wednesday morning.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    67  46  62  34 /   0   0   0   0
Waco                62  42  63  34 /  20   0   0   0
Paris               67  43  56  27 /   0   0   0   0
Denton              68  41  60  27 /   0   0   0   0
McKinney            67  43  60  28 /   0   0   0   0
Dallas              68  46  62  35 /   0   0   0   0
Terrell             67  43  62  29 /   0   0   0   0
Corsicana           66  44  65  34 /  10   0   0   0
Temple              63  41  65  32 /  20   0   0   0
Mineral Wells       67  41  62  28 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Langfeld
LONG TERM....Langfeld
AVIATION...Langfeld

Previous Forecast Discussions may be found at
NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX (FWD) Office Forecast Discussions.
(Click 'Previous Version' there to view past versions successively.
Some may differ only in time posted.)

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