Day 1 Outlook Day 2 Outlook Day 3 Outlook Days 4-8 Outlook

Day 2 Outlook Categorical Probabilistic
Categorical Day2 0700Z Outlook
  

Images courtesy of the NWS Storm Prediction Center
 Forecast Discussion

  
000
ACUS02 KWNS 150520
SWODY2
SPC AC 150520

Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1120 PM CST Wed Nov 14 2018

Valid 161200Z - 171200Z

...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Weak convection may be observed across parts of the northeastern
United States Friday but the prospect for lightning is low.

...Northeast...

Focused large-scale forcing for ascent will spread across New
England during the day2 period in association with exit region of
mid-level jet. Latest model guidance suggests mid-level lapse rates
will steepen along this corridor such that elevated convection will
likely be noted north of deepening surface low. However, overall
buoyancy will likely be too weak to warrant 10% thunder
probabilities despite the possibility for a few lightning strikes.
For these reasons have removed thunder to this part of the country.

...MAXIMUM RISK BY HAZARD...
Tornado:  <2%     - None
Wind:     <5%     - None
Hail:     <5%     - None

..Darrow.. 11/15/2018

$$